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UFC Fight Night 28 Predictions



Monday, September 2nd, 2013

by Benjamin Bieker

 

Keith Wisniewski vs. Ivan Jorge

Never bet against a man with the nickname Batman, and that does not change in this fight. These two both have a penchant for the ground game since over half of both their career wins have come by submission. Unfortunately for Wisniewski, Jorge’s submission game will be on another level which will help him coax a tap from his American opponent.

 

Lucas Martins vs. Ramiro Hernandez Jr.

When Martins thinks about cutting weight he gets serious about it, because the former lightweight is dropping two weight classes all the way down to bantamweight. Hernandez is a former featherweight himself looking for an advantage in his Octagon debut. Martins has the power in his hands and the crowd behind him which will catapult him to a TKO in the second round.

 

Felipe Arantes vs. Edimilson Souza

If Arantes wants to win this fight he will need to take it tot he ground where Souza’s weakness is, but at six foot Souza has a lot of body to defend any takedown with. That is where his hand will come into play which with 12 knockouts in 13 career wins, Souza is a dangerous fighter. He will pick up his 13th finish in the first round.

 

Marcos Vinicius vs. Ali Bagautinov

Bagautinov is a sambo master which will help him dictate where this fight goes, and while Vinicius may have the advantage in submission that will not matter when he is getting tossed on his head. Bagautinov is fighting in hostile territory, but he will be impressive picking up a TKO in the second round via ground and pound.

 

Rafael Natal vs. Tor Troeng

Natal is a good fighter, but history dictates that he has never been able to win more than two fights in a row in the UFC. Plus, his problem has always been someone that is a strong punhcer, and active striing falls right into Troeng’s wheelhouse. This will not be an easily won fight, but Troeng wins a decision victory.

 

Francisco Trinaldo vs. Piotr Hallmann

Trinaldo is a tough fighter, but Hallmann is a finisher no matter where the fight goes. With youth on his side, being ten years younger, Hallmann will find his win via submission after picking Trinaldo apart on the feet.

 

Joseph Benavidez vs. Jussier Formiga

It is unknown what will be different in a rematch for Benavidez against Flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson, but what is known is that no one will be able to stop him from getting there. The problem with Formiga is he does not have any way of challenging Benavidez. Formiga only finishes people by knocking them out or winning  a decision. Benavidez can only be controlled if you outwrestle him, and he has never been submitted or knocked out. Look for the Alpha Male fighter to tire Formiga out on his way to a submission in the second round.

 

Yushin Okami vs. Ronaldo Souza

The big question going into this fight is can Okami control Souza on the ground or out strike him on the feet? Okami has competent striking, but he has only finished four fighters in the last seven years, but he wins the majority of his fights due to his ground control. Souza, on the other hand, is a master of BJJ, but a lot of his submission have come from the top and not from his guard. In his only loss in the last few years, Souza was out struck by former Strikeforce champion Luke Rockhold. If Okami can dictate where the fight goes he will have to out strike Souza, but that will not be possible. Souza puts his other black belt, in judo, to work as he uses repeated takedown and clinching to win a decision.

 

Glover Teixeira vs. Ryan Bader

The one thing Bader has in this fight is his wrestling, and he will need to use it to keep away from the power and submission game of Teixeira. The one thing that has never been tested is his cardio in the fourth and fifth rounds since most of Teixeira’s fights end in the first or second. If Bader could tire him out that is his way to win, but that is not what will happen int his fight. Like all of Teixeira’s opponents before him, Bader will fall prey to something that ends the fight. Look for Teixeira to submit Bader in the first round on his way to a title shot.


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